| Market | Polymarket | Deribit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? 2027-01-01 | 7.5% | 10.3% | +2.8 pp |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 5? 2026-09-05 | 100.0% | 100.0% | +0.0 pp |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 5? 2026-09-05 | 100.0% | 100.0% | +0.1 pp |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? 2027-01-01 | 13.5% | 14.4% | +1.0 pp |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? 2027-01-01 | 6.5% | 6.7% | +0.2 pp |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? 2026-10-01 | 4.7% | 6.6% | +1.9 pp |
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