Fed Interest Rate — Current Value & Crypto Market Impact
What is Fed Funds Rate?
The Federal Funds Rate is the interest rate at which banks lend reserve balances to each other overnight. Set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), it is the primary tool of US monetary policy. Rate hikes tighten financial conditions (bearish for risk assets), while cuts loosen them (bullish for risk assets including crypto).
How Fed Funds Rate Affects Crypto Markets
The Fed Rate has a delayed but powerful impact on crypto markets. Rate hikes reduce liquidity, increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like Bitcoin, and strengthen the dollar — all bearish for crypto. Rate cuts have the opposite effect. Markets typically price in expected rate changes ahead of time, so the largest crypto moves happen on unexpected decisions or shifts in FOMC guidance. Track upcoming Fed meetings on our economic calendar.
Value History
2025-10-01 — 2026-08-01 · data points: 134
Data table (rows: 90)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | 3.63% |
| 2026-07-01 | 3.63% |
| 2026-06-10 | 3.63% |
| 2026-06-09 | 3.63% |
| 2026-06-08 | 3.63% |
| 2026-06-07 | 3.63% |
| 2026-06-06 | 3.63% |
| 2026-06-05 | 3.63% |
| 2026-06-04 | 3.63% |
| 2026-06-03 | 3.63% |
| 2026-06-02 | 3.63% |
| 2026-06-01 | 3.63% |
| 2026-05-31 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-30 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-29 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-28 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-27 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-26 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-25 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-24 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-23 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-22 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-21 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-20 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-19 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-18 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-17 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-16 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-15 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-14 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-13 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-12 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-11 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-10 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-09 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-08 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-07 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-06 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-05 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-04 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-03 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-02 | 3.64% |
| 2026-05-01 | 3.63% |
| 2026-04-30 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-29 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-28 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-27 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-26 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-25 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-24 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-23 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-22 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-21 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-20 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-19 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-18 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-17 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-16 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-15 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-14 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-13 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-12 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-11 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-10 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-09 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-08 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-07 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-06 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-05 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-04 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-03 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-02 | 3.64% |
| 2026-04-01 | 3.64% |
| 2026-03-31 | 3.64% |
| 2026-03-30 | 3.64% |
| 2026-03-29 | 3.64% |
| 2026-03-28 | 3.64% |
| 2026-03-27 | 3.64% |
| 2026-03-26 | 3.64% |
| 2026-03-25 | 3.64% |
| 2026-03-24 | 3.64% |
| 2026-03-23 | 3.64% |
| 2026-03-22 | 3.64% |
| 2026-03-21 | 3.64% |
| 2026-03-20 | 3.64% |
| 2026-03-19 | 3.64% |
| 2026-03-18 | 3.64% |
| 2026-03-17 | 3.64% |
| 2026-03-16 | 3.64% |
| 2026-03-15 | 3.64% |
Latest AI Analysis
DAILY ETF OUTFLOW
🔴 Negative — A daily ETF outflow coincided with a negative BTC return
The return of institutional demand has failed to take hold: daily ETF flow swung from roughly +217 to -236, while Bitcoin’s 24-hour return fell from 1.41% to -1.5%. Seven-day flow remains positive but declined from roughly 804 to 253, signaling weakening demand momentum. Attacks on US bases and inflation risks are hanging over the market: the former could intensify risk-off sentiment, although the Fear & Greed Index remains in greed territory at 63, while the probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 is estimated at just 3.2%.
WHAT TO WATCH
On September 3, daily ETF flow needs to close above zero to confirm that demand is returning. Escalation around US bases could reinforce the broader risk-off move.
Related Indicators
Impact on Crypto Trading
FAQ
What is the current Fed Rate?
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