Crypto Macro Pulse — Real-Time Indicators & AI Market Analysis

Daily AI-powered analysis of 15 macroeconomic indicators and their impact on crypto markets. Market regime scoring helps you understand the current risk environment.

Latest Digest

BTC ETF DEMAND

🟡 Neutral — Daily demand increased, but weekly momentum remains negative

BTC ETF flows reversed from minus 202 to around 217, supporting a 1.4% daily gain in bitcoin. Fund assets rose by roughly 2%, confirming the emergence of local buying demand.

A renewed exchange of strikes between the U.S. and Iran is hanging over the market: risks to oil and shipping are fueling inflation expectations and restraining risk appetite. Even so, the Fear and Greed Index remains in greed territory at 69.

Bitcoin is still down around 2% over seven days. The daily rebound has yet to reverse the weekly decline, so it is too early to call a confirmed trend reversal.

WHAT TO WATCH

By the September 2 close, BTC’s seven-day return needs to move above zero. Sustaining the move will require ETF flows to remain positive.

All Macro Indicators

We track 32 macro indicators hourly and analyze their combined impact on crypto markets.

BTC Return 7d

-1.40%

+33.33%

BTC Price

$77,410

+0.24%

Prediction Markets

Fed Rate Cut Odds

0.70%

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Upcoming Events

Date	Event	Expected	Previous
Sep 4	Non-Farm Payrolls	58.00	-23.00
Sep 11	Core CPI YoY	—	2.50
Sep 11	CPI YoY	—	3.40
Sep 16	Fed Interest Rate Decision	—	3.75
Sep 30	PCE Price Index YoY	—	3.70

Calendar

How Macro Indicators Affect Crypto Markets

Macroeconomic conditions directly influence crypto markets through multiple channels. When the Federal Reserve raises interest rates or the US Dollar strengthens, risk assets like Bitcoin face selling pressure. Conversely, periods of monetary easing, falling real yields, and weakening dollar historically correlate with crypto bull runs. Our AI digest analyzes these relationships daily, combining 15 indicators into a single market regime score.

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View All Digests

Browse all daily macro digests with market regime analysis and key indicators.

Prediction track record

Every call the digest made, with its outcome: hits, misses and calls with no result.

FAQ

What is Macro Pulse?

Macro Pulse is a daily AI-powered digest that analyzes 15 macroeconomic indicators and their impact on crypto markets. It includes a market regime score (risk-on/neutral/risk-off) to help you understand the current market environment.

Which indicators are tracked?

We track 15 indicators: DXY, US 10Y Treasury, US 2Y Treasury, TIPS 5Y Breakeven, Fed Rate, CPI YoY, Core CPI YoY, Yield Curve, VIX, Fear & Greed Index, BTC Price, BTC Dominance, BTC Volatility 30d, and BTC 7d Return.

How often is the digest updated?

Macro indicators are updated every hour. The AI digest is generated daily at 09:00 MSK (06:00 UTC) based on the latest data.

What do the regime scores mean?

Risk On (green) means macroeconomic conditions favor risk assets like crypto. Risk Off (red) indicates tightening conditions that may pressure markets. Neutral (yellow) suggests mixed signals.

How does DXY affect Bitcoin price?

DXY (US Dollar Index) has an inverse correlation with Bitcoin. When the dollar strengthens (DXY rises), crypto assets typically face pressure as investors move to safe-haven assets. When DXY weakens, risk assets like Bitcoin often benefit. Track the DXY-BTC relationship in real-time on our indicators dashboard.

What is a crypto market regime?

A market regime describes the overall macro environment for risk assets. Yieldo scores 7 macro components (DXY, 10Y Treasury, TIPS, VIX, Fear & Greed, 2Y Treasury, Yield Curve) on a scale of -100 to +100. Above +20 is Risk On (favorable for crypto), below -20 is Risk Off (pressure on crypto), and in between is Neutral.

What macro indicators should crypto traders watch?

The most important indicators for crypto are: DXY (dollar strength), Fed Rate and CPI (monetary policy direction), VIX (market volatility), Fear & Greed Index (sentiment), and Treasury Yield Curve (recession signal). Yieldo tracks all 15 indicators and generates daily AI analysis of their combined crypto impact.

Can I get the macro digest in Telegram?

Yes! Subscribe to @mmmacro (Russian) or @enmacro (English) Telegram channels for daily digests, or use @yieldo_bot to receive personalized notifications.

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