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Crypto Macro Pulse — Real-Time Indicators & AI Market Analysis

Daily AI analysis of macroeconomics and crypto markets. We track 33 indicators; the market regime helps assess conditions for risk assets.

Market Regime

Risk On

Latest Digest

Updated:

RETURN OF RISK APPETITE

🟢 Positive — Sentiment has improved, but fund demand still lags

Risk appetite is back: the Fear & Greed Index rose from 53 to 63, entering greed territory. Yet bitcoin funds have recorded outflows for a second consecutive day — sentiment is running ahead of demand. Reports of possible escalation around Iran and strikes between Russia and Ukraine keep the risk of higher energy prices and a flight to safety in play. Meanwhile, prediction markets put the probability of a US recession at just 7.5%. The sentiment turnaround is encouraging, but its staying power remains uncertain without renewed fund inflows.

WHAT TO WATCH

A Fear & Greed Index close above 63 on October 17 would confirm further improvement in sentiment. This test would not establish that fund demand has returned.

All Macro Indicators

All Macro Indicators

We track 33 macro indicators hourly and analyze their combined impact on crypto markets.

Updated:

Economic Indicators

US Dollar Index
121.60
—
Fed Funds Rate
3.75%

Data for September 2026

+0.12 pp
CPI (YoY)
3.72%

Data for September 2026

+0.37 pp
Core CPI (YoY)
2.57%

Data for September 2026

+0.12 pp
US 10Y Treasury
5.10%
—
US 2Y Treasury
4.77%
—
Yield Curve (10Y-2Y)
0.33%
—
US 10Y TIPS (Real Yield)
2.78%
—
VIX
16.46
—

Market Sentiment

Fear & Greed
53
—
Altseason Barometer
28
—

Bitcoin Metrics

BTC Dominance
59.47%
-0.02%
Crypto Market Cap
$2.76T
+0.12%
BTC Vol 30d (ann.)
34.97%
-1.71%
BTC Return 7d
-1.56%
+5.45%
BTC Price
$81,731
+0.17%

Prediction Markets

Fed Rate Cut Odds
0.50%
—
US Recession Odds
6.50%
—
View All Indicators

Upcoming Events

Date Event Expected Previous
Oct 28 Fed Interest Rate Decision — 4.00
Oct 29 PCE Price Index YoY — 3.40
Nov 6 Non-Farm Payrolls — 29.00
Nov 10 CPI YoY — 3.70
Nov 10 Core CPI YoY — 2.60
Calendar

How Macro Indicators Affect Crypto Markets

Macroeconomic conditions directly influence crypto markets through multiple channels. When the Federal Reserve raises interest rates or the US Dollar strengthens, risk assets like Bitcoin face selling pressure. Conversely, periods of monetary easing, falling real yields, and weakening dollar historically correlate with crypto bull runs. Our AI digest analyzes these relationships daily, combining available indicators into a single market regime score.

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View All Digests
Browse all daily macro digests with market regime analysis and key indicators.
Prediction track record
Every call the digest made, with its outcome: hits, misses and calls with no result.
@mmmacro
Russian channel
@enmacro
English channel
FAQ

FAQ

What is Macro Pulse?
Macro Pulse is a daily AI digest about macroeconomics and crypto markets. Yieldo tracks 33 indicators. Each issue explains changes and the market regime: risk-on, neutral or risk-off.
Which indicators are tracked?
The database contains 33 indicators: US rates and inflation, DXY, VIX, Treasury yields, BTC price and dominance, market sentiment and more. The indicator table shows the complete set and dates.
How often is the digest updated?
Macro indicators are polled hourly; the date of each value depends on its source schedule. Daily AI digest generation is scheduled for 08:30 MSK. The published issue carries its own date.
What do the regime scores mean?
Risk On (green) means macroeconomic conditions favor risk assets like crypto. Risk Off (red) indicates tightening conditions that may pressure markets. Neutral (yellow) suggests mixed signals.
How does DXY affect Bitcoin price?
DXY (US Dollar Index) has an inverse correlation with Bitcoin. When the dollar strengthens (DXY rises), crypto assets typically face pressure as investors move to safe-haven assets. When DXY weakens, risk assets like Bitcoin often benefit. Track the DXY-BTC relationship in real-time on our indicators dashboard.
What is a crypto market regime?
A market regime describes the overall macro environment for risk assets. Yieldo scores 7 macro components (DXY, 10Y Treasury, TIPS, VIX, Fear & Greed, 2Y Treasury, Yield Curve) on a scale of -100 to +100. Above +20 is Risk On (favorable for crypto), below -20 is Risk Off (pressure on crypto), and in between is Neutral.
What macro indicators should crypto traders watch?
The most important indicators for crypto are: DXY (dollar strength), Fed Rate and CPI (monetary policy direction), VIX (market volatility), Fear & Greed Index (sentiment), and Treasury Yield Curve (recession signal). Yieldo tracks 33 indicators and generates daily AI analysis of their combined crypto impact.
Can I get the macro digest in Telegram?
Yes! Subscribe to @mmmacro (Russian) or @enmacro (English) Telegram channels for daily digests, or use @yieldo_bot to receive personalized notifications.

Weekly Macro Review in Telegram

One independent weekly review, every Monday at 09:00 MSK. You can turn it off below any issue.

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