Fed Rate Cut Odds — What Prediction Markets Imply
Value History
2026-07-07 — 2026-09-02 · data points: 58
Data table (rows: 58)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | 0.70% |
| 2026-09-01 | 0.70% |
| 2026-08-31 | 0.80% |
| 2026-08-30 | 1.00% |
| 2026-08-29 | 1.20% |
| 2026-08-28 | 0.90% |
| 2026-08-27 | 1.70% |
| 2026-08-26 | 1.40% |
| 2026-08-25 | 1.50% |
| 2026-08-24 | 1.50% |
| 2026-08-23 | 1.70% |
| 2026-08-22 | 1.60% |
| 2026-08-21 | 1.30% |
| 2026-08-20 | 1.50% |
| 2026-08-19 | 1.50% |
| 2026-08-18 | 1.30% |
| 2026-08-17 | 1.20% |
| 2026-08-16 | 1.60% |
| 2026-08-15 | 1.70% |
| 2026-08-14 | 1.50% |
| 2026-08-13 | 1.80% |
| 2026-08-12 | 2.00% |
| 2026-08-11 | 2.10% |
| 2026-08-10 | 2.40% |
| 2026-08-09 | 2.80% |
| 2026-08-08 | 2.70% |
| 2026-08-07 | 2.80% |
| 2026-08-06 | 2.70% |
| 2026-08-05 | 2.50% |
| 2026-08-04 | 2.40% |
| 2026-08-03 | 2.00% |
| 2026-08-02 | 2.10% |
| 2026-08-01 | 3.00% |
| 2026-07-31 | 3.20% |
| 2026-07-30 | 4.00% |
| 2026-07-29 | 3.60% |
| 2026-07-28 | 0.30% |
| 2026-07-27 | 0.30% |
| 2026-07-26 | 0.50% |
| 2026-07-25 | 0.60% |
| 2026-07-24 | 0.50% |
| 2026-07-23 | 0.50% |
| 2026-07-22 | 0.50% |
| 2026-07-21 | 0.60% |
| 2026-07-20 | 0.50% |
| 2026-07-19 | 0.50% |
| 2026-07-18 | 0.50% |
| 2026-07-17 | 0.40% |
| 2026-07-16 | 0.50% |
| 2026-07-15 | 0.50% |
| 2026-07-14 | 0.70% |
| 2026-07-13 | 0.60% |
| 2026-07-12 | 0.70% |
| 2026-07-11 | 0.70% |
| 2026-07-10 | 0.70% |
| 2026-07-09 | 0.70% |
| 2026-07-08 | 0.70% |
| 2026-07-07 | 1.00% |
Latest AI Analysis
DAILY ETF OUTFLOW
🔴 Negative — A daily ETF outflow coincided with a negative BTC return
The return of institutional demand has failed to take hold: daily ETF flow swung from roughly +217 to -236, while Bitcoin’s 24-hour return fell from 1.41% to -1.5%. Seven-day flow remains positive but declined from roughly 804 to 253, signaling weakening demand momentum. Attacks on US bases and inflation risks are hanging over the market: the former could intensify risk-off sentiment, although the Fear & Greed Index remains in greed territory at 63, while the probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 is estimated at just 3.2%.
WHAT TO WATCH
On September 3, daily ETF flow needs to close above zero to confirm that demand is returning. Escalation around US bases could reinforce the broader risk-off move.
Related Indicators
Impact on Crypto Trading
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