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Crypto Macro Pulse — Real-Time Indicators & AI Market Analysis — 14.04.2026

Neutral

THE DOLLAR IS GIVING UP, BITCOIN IS BOUNCING

🟢 Positive — a weak dollar and an inflow of liquidity supported risk.

The key change of the day is a noticeable weakening of the dollar: DXY over the past day moved down by about 1.5% (118.86), while 10-year and 2-year yields barely moved (4.31% and 3.81%), and the anxiety index VIX remains calm (19.23). Against this backdrop, systemic liquidity continues to grow: over the week it added about 2%, and the outflow of funds from reverse REPO accelerated — this usually gives the market “fuel”.

In crypto, this showed up directly: BTC returned above the $70,000 zone and rose to $74,396 (+4.9% over the day; +9.0% over the week). At the same time, BTC dominance is updating high levels — capital is still concentrating in bitcoin rather than spreading into alts. Inflows into BTC ETFs remain confidently positive (about $240 million per day and ~$622 million per week), but the pace of daily inflows is already lower than before — an important point in case of new geopolitical headlines. Compared to yesterday’s “holding $70,000 on fear,” the market has moved into a phase of a more confident rise, although fear is still pronounced (21 points), and volatility has picked up.

WHAT TO WATCH

1) BTC’s reaction to the 74–75k area: holding it will turn yesterday’s bounce into a sustained rise.
2) The dollar: if DXY weakness persists, it will continue to relieve pressure on crypto.
3) Geopolitical news: with the current fear, sharp intraday moves are still likely even with a good macro backdrop.

Market State

Market Phase
rally
Risk Level
moderate
Key Themes
weakening of the dollar and improvement in financial conditions growth of systemic liquidity and support from BTC-ETF

All Indicators

Event Value Change
US Dollar Index 118.86 —
US 10Y Treasury 4.31% —
US 2Y Treasury 3.81% —
US 10Y TIPS (Real Yield) 1.95% —
Fed Funds Rate 3.64% —
CPI (YoY) 3.29% —
Core CPI (YoY) 2.60% —
VIX 19.23 —
Yield Curve (10Y-2Y) 0.50% —
BTC Dominance 57.26% -0.07%
BTC Price $74,396 -0.37%
BTC Return 24h 4.90% -7.72%
BTC Return 7d 9.04% +6.98%
BTC Vol 30d (ann.) 41.76% -0.31%
Fear & Greed 21 +75.00%
Fed Balance Sheet $6.69T —
Treasury General Account $748.38B —
Reverse Repo $0.23B —
M2 Money Supply $22.67T —
Net Liquidity $5,945.02B —
BTC ETF Daily Flow $240.42M —
BTC ETF 7d Flow $621.58M —
BTC ETF AUM $94.92B —