Crypto Macro Pulse — Real-Time Indicators & AI Market Analysis — 14.04.2026
NeutralTHE DOLLAR IS GIVING UP, BITCOIN IS BOUNCING
🟢 Positive — a weak dollar and an inflow of liquidity supported risk.
The key change of the day is a noticeable weakening of the dollar: DXY over the past day moved down by about 1.5% (118.86), while 10-year and 2-year yields barely moved (4.31% and 3.81%), and the anxiety index VIX remains calm (19.23). Against this backdrop, systemic liquidity continues to grow: over the week it added about 2%, and the outflow of funds from reverse REPO accelerated — this usually gives the market “fuel”.
In crypto, this showed up directly: BTC returned above the $70,000 zone and rose to $74,396 (+4.9% over the day; +9.0% over the week). At the same time, BTC dominance is updating high levels — capital is still concentrating in bitcoin rather than spreading into alts. Inflows into BTC ETFs remain confidently positive (about $240 million per day and ~$622 million per week), but the pace of daily inflows is already lower than before — an important point in case of new geopolitical headlines. Compared to yesterday’s “holding $70,000 on fear,” the market has moved into a phase of a more confident rise, although fear is still pronounced (21 points), and volatility has picked up.
WHAT TO WATCH
1) BTC’s reaction to the 74–75k area: holding it will turn yesterday’s bounce into a sustained rise.
2) The dollar: if DXY weakness persists, it will continue to relieve pressure on crypto.
3) Geopolitical news: with the current fear, sharp intraday moves are still likely even with a good macro backdrop.
Market State
All Indicators
| Event | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| US Dollar Index | 118.86 | — |
| US 10Y Treasury | 4.31% | — |
| US 2Y Treasury | 3.81% | — |
| US 10Y TIPS (Real Yield) | 1.95% | — |
| Fed Funds Rate | 3.64% | — |
| CPI (YoY) | 3.29% | — |
| Core CPI (YoY) | 2.60% | — |
| VIX | 19.23 | — |
| Yield Curve (10Y-2Y) | 0.50% | — |
| BTC Dominance | 57.26% | -0.07% |
| BTC Price | $74,396 | -0.37% |
| BTC Return 24h | 4.90% | -7.72% |
| BTC Return 7d | 9.04% | +6.98% |
| BTC Vol 30d (ann.) | 41.76% | -0.31% |
| Fear & Greed | 21 | +75.00% |
| Fed Balance Sheet | 6.69% | — |
| Treasury General Account | 748.38% | — |
| Reverse Repo | 0.23% | — |
| M2 Money Supply | 22.67% | — |
| Net Liquidity | 5,945.02% | — |
| BTC ETF Daily Flow | 240.42% | — |
| BTC ETF 7d Flow | 621.58% | — |
| BTC ETF AUM | 94.92% | — |