Crypto Macro Pulse — Real-Time Indicators & AI Market Analysis — 02.06.2026
Risk OffCRYPTO IS PRESSED DOWN BY OUTFLOWS AND FEAR
🔴 Negative — sell-off in BTC amid strong outflows.
The main shift of the day is an acceleration of the decline in crypto against a relatively calm external backdrop: the dollar weakened slightly (DXY 118.88), yields are standing still, and the VIX remains low (15.32), meaning there is no classic “risk-off” in traditional markets. Geopolitical headlines are loud, but in prices this looks more like background noise than panic.
The pressure is coming from within the market: BTC dipped to 70,699 (another -3.75% from yesterday), the weekly result worsened to -7.8%, and sentiment slid into pronounced fear (index 23). The key reason is the intensification of outflows from BTC ETFs: about -$484 million for the day and -$2.11 billion for the week, while assets under management fell to $91.16 billion. Against this backdrop, BTC dominance is declining along with the price — it looks like a defensive capital reshuffle rather than a healthy rotation into altcoins. Compared to yesterday’s narrative, the picture has become harsher precisely because of ETF flows and a sharper price move.
WHAT TO WATCH
1) BTC-ETF flows: we need at least a pause in outflows, otherwise any rebound will be fragile.
2) The 73,000 level on BTC as the nearest zone where sellers may become active again.
3) Friday’s US employment data (NFP) — may shift rate expectations and set momentum for the market.
Market State
All Indicators
| Event | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| US Dollar Index | 118.88 | — |
| US 10Y Treasury | 4.45% | — |
| US 2Y Treasury | 3.98% | — |
| US 10Y TIPS (Real Yield) | 2.07% | — |
| Fed Funds Rate | 3.63% | — |
| CPI (YoY) | 3.78% | — |
| Core CPI (YoY) | 2.74% | — |
| VIX | 15.32 | — |
| Yield Curve (10Y-2Y) | 0.47% | — |
| BTC Dominance | 56.49% | -0.21% |
| BTC Price | $70,699 | -0.90% |
| BTC Return 24h | -3.76% | -9.62% |
| BTC Return 7d | -7.80% | -4.56% |
| BTC Vol 30d (ann.) | 29.70% | +9.80% |
| Fear & Greed | 23 | -20.69% |
| Fed Balance Sheet | 6.70% | — |
| Treasury General Account | 830.30% | — |
| Reverse Repo | 1.30% | — |
| M2 Money Supply | 22.80% | — |
| Net Liquidity | 5,872.80% | — |
| BTC ETF Daily Flow | -483.76% | -286.05% |
| BTC ETF 7d Flow | -2,111.09% | -24.34% |
| BTC ETF AUM | 91.16% | -3.20% |