Crypto Macro Pulse — Real-Time Indicators & AI Market Analysis — 19.09.2026
Risk OnBROADENING RALLY
🟢 Positive — Market cap is outpacing BTC as dominance declines
The advance is no longer just a Bitcoin story: total market capitalization gained 5.52%, while BTC dominance fell from 59.05% to 58.36%. Demand is broadening across the rest of the market, although the probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 dropped to 1.8%—the short-term rally has yet to make that scenario convincing. The backdrop is mixed: greed at 71 and greater US regulatory clarity are supporting risk appetite, but the Bank of Japan’s rate hike to 1.25% threatens global liquidity.
WHAT TO WATCH
BTC dominance staying below 59.05% through September 20 would confirm broader demand. The required confirmation is a sustained hold below yesterday’s level.
All Indicators
| Event | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| US Dollar Index | 118.21 | — |
| US 10Y Treasury | 4.94% | — |
| US 2Y Treasury | 4.67% | — |
| US 10Y TIPS (Real Yield) | 2.61% | — |
| Fed Funds Rate | 3.63% | — |
| CPI (YoY) | 3.35% | — |
| Core CPI (YoY) | 2.45% | — |
| VIX | 15.44 | — |
| Yield Curve (10Y-2Y) | 0.27% | — |
| BTC Dominance | 58.36% | -0.09% |
| BTC Price | $80,992 | -0.16% |
| BTC Return 24h | 4.52% | -27.68% |
| BTC Return 7d | 4.89% | -5.60% |
| BTC Vol 30d (ann.) | 45.95% | -6.53% |
| Fear & Greed | 71 | +26.79% |
| Fed Balance Sheet | $6.75T | — |
| Treasury General Account | $877.03B | — |
| Reverse Repo | $0.58B | — |
| M2 Money Supply | $23.22T | — |
| Net Liquidity | $5,868.90B | — |
| BTC ETF Daily Flow | $433.03M | — |
| BTC ETF 7d Flow | $6.21M | — |
| BTC ETF AUM | $102.53B | — |
| S&P 500 | 7,637.76 | — |
| DeFi TVL | $93.20B | +0.54% |
| Stablecoin Market Cap | $306.80B | — |
| USDT Peg | $0.9997 | -0.01% |
| Fed Rate Cut Odds | 0.90% | — |
| BTC $100k Milestone | 1.80% | — |
| ETH ≥ $2,700 | 70.50% | -0.70% |
| Altseason Barometer | 33 | — |
| Crypto Market Cap | $2.78T | — |
| US Recession Odds | 8.50% | — |
Economic Events
| Date | Event | Expected | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4.00 | 3.75 |