Crypto Macro Pulse — Real-Time Indicators & AI Market Analysis — 26.09.2026
Risk OffSEVEN DAYS OF INFLOWS
🟡 Neutral — Inflows persist, but price momentum has weakened noticeably
Demand for crypto assets remains intact: BTC funds have recorded inflows for seven consecutive days, while stablecoin market capitalization rose from 307.1 to 309. However, Bitcoin’s seven-day return fell from 8.64% to 3.67%—buyers are still present but have yet to accelerate the price. Escalation in the Middle East is supporting oil and the risk premium, reinforcing the risk-off regime now in its third day, even as the Fear & Greed Index holds at 74. Inflows are providing a floor for the market, but their quality will only be confirmed by a return of price momentum.
WHAT TO WATCH
By September 27, daily BTC fund inflows need to remain above 134.47. Sustained fund demand should begin to restore price momentum.
All Indicators
| Event | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| US Dollar Index | 119.51 | — |
| US 10Y Treasury | 5.18% | — |
| US 2Y Treasury | 4.87% | — |
| US 10Y TIPS (Real Yield) | 2.85% | — |
| Fed Funds Rate | 3.63% | — |
| CPI (YoY) | 3.35% | — |
| Core CPI (YoY) | 2.45% | — |
| VIX | 14.21 | — |
| Yield Curve (10Y-2Y) | 0.31% | — |
| BTC Dominance | 58.27% | +0.10% |
| BTC Price | $83,964 | -0.13% |
| BTC Return 24h | -0.25% | -19.05% |
| BTC Return 7d | 3.67% | +0.82% |
| BTC Vol 30d (ann.) | 37.08% | -15.52% |
| Fear & Greed | 74 | +4.23% |
| Fed Balance Sheet | $6.75T | — |
| Treasury General Account | $977.08B | — |
| Reverse Repo | $0.58B | — |
| M2 Money Supply | $23.34T | — |
| Net Liquidity | $5,770.04B | — |
| BTC ETF Daily Flow | $134.47M | — |
| BTC ETF 7d Flow | $2,385.79M | — |
| BTC ETF AUM | $108.42B | — |
| S&P 500 | 7,743.41 | — |
| DeFi TVL | $95.60B | +0.31% |
| Stablecoin Market Cap | $309.00B | +0.59% |
| USDT Peg | $0.9999 | — |
| Fed Rate Cut Odds | 0.70% | — |
| BTC $100k Milestone | 0.50% | — |
| ETH ≥ $2,900 | 10.50% | -8.70% |
| Altseason Barometer | 30 | -3.23% |
| Crypto Market Cap | $2.89T | -0.29% |
| US Recession Odds | 9.50% | — |