Crypto Macro Pulse — Real-Time Indicators & AI Market Analysis — 11.02.2026
NeutralCRYPTO IS PUSHED DOWN AMID CALM MACRO
🔴 Negative — BTC’s decline accelerated, fear is extreme.
The main event of the day is a new downward impulse in BTC: from ~69.8k to 67.5k in a day (about -3.2%), while over the week the drawdown is already around -11.6%. Against this backdrop, the macro picture has hardly changed: the dollar is standing still, 10-year and 2-year yields aren’t moving, and the VIX is around 17 — the stock market isn’t pricing in stress. Liquidity in the system has moderately increased over the week, meaning the “ground” under risk overall isn’t deteriorating.
The crypto side looks like a sell-off within the market itself: the fear index remains in the extreme fear zone (11), although it bounced off even lower values. On ETFs the picture is mixed: the daily inflow remains positive (+$145m), but noticeably weaker than yesterday, while the weekly total is still negative (-$683m), although it has become less bad — pressure from institutions is easing, but hasn’t disappeared. From yesterday’s “lull at 70k” scenario, the market moved into a phase of a clear correction: the key question is whether sustainable demand (in ETFs and on spot) will appear against the backdrop of today’s CPI/NFP releases and Treasury auctions.
WHAT TO WATCH
1) BTC’s reaction to today’s CPI/NFP data block: more important than the direction will be the speed of the return above 70k.
2) Flows in BTC ETFs: maintaining daily inflows with a shrinking weekly outflow is a stabilization signal.
3) The dollar and yields: if they start rising after the data/auctions, pressure on crypto will intensify.
Market State
All Indicators
| Event | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| US Dollar Index | 118.24 | — |
| US 10Y Treasury | 4.22% | — |
| US 2Y Treasury | 3.48% | — |
| US 10Y TIPS (Real Yield) | 1.87% | — |
| Fed Funds Rate | 3.64% | — |
| CPI (YoY) | 2.65% | — |
| Core CPI (YoY) | 2.65% | — |
| VIX | 17.36 | — |
| Yield Curve (10Y-2Y) | 0.74% | — |
| BTC Dominance | 56.76% | -0.28% |
| BTC Price | $67,545 | -1.63% |
| BTC Return 24h | -3.23% | -35.71% |
| BTC Return 7d | -11.57% | -26.86% |
| BTC Vol 30d (ann.) | 67.39% | -13.34% |
| Fear & Greed | 11 | +22.22% |
| Fed Balance Sheet | $6.61T | — |
| Treasury General Account | $908.77B | — |
| Reverse Repo | $1.45B | — |
| M2 Money Supply | $22.41T | — |
| Net Liquidity | $5,695.68B | — |
| BTC ETF Daily Flow | $145.00M | — |
| BTC ETF 7d Flow | -$682.77M | — |
| BTC ETF AUM | $90.05B | — |
Economic Events
| Date | Event | Expected | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11 | CPI YoY | — | 2.70 |
| Feb 11 | Non-Farm Payrolls | 66.00 | 48.00 |
| Feb 11 | Treasury Auction | — | 4.17 |
| Feb 12 | Treasury Auction | — | 4.83 |
| Feb 13 | CPI YoY | 2.50 | 2.70 |