Crypto Macro Pulse — Real-Time Indicators & AI Market Analysis — 24.08.2026
Risk OnFIVE DAYS OF INFLOWS
🟢 Positive — ETF inflows support risk-on sentiment, although BTC momentum remains weak
BTC funds have recorded inflows for five consecutive days, while crypto ETFs posted their biggest week of 2026 — evidence that the current risk appetite is underpinned by institutional spot demand. Yet Bitcoin gained just 0.42% over the past 24 hours. Trade uncertainty hangs over the market after U.S.-Canada negotiations collapsed, but it has yet to suppress demand: the Fear and Greed Index remains at 73. Funds are buying, while the price response remains muted.
WHAT TO WATCH
A Bitcoin close above $76,861 by August 25 would confirm that momentum is continuing. Sustaining that level would show that ETF demand is not yet exhausted.
All Indicators
| Event | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| US Dollar Index | 118.90 | — |
| US 10Y Treasury | 4.69% | — |
| US 2Y Treasury | 4.19% | — |
| US 10Y TIPS (Real Yield) | 2.35% | — |
| Fed Funds Rate | 3.63% | — |
| CPI (YoY) | 3.30% | — |
| Core CPI (YoY) | 2.47% | — |
| VIX | 16.01 | — |
| Yield Curve (10Y-2Y) | 0.50% | — |
| BTC Dominance | 59.15% | — |
| BTC Price | $76,861 | -0.93% |
| BTC Return 24h | 0.42% | -56.25% |
| BTC Return 7d | 21.08% | -10.60% |
| BTC Vol 30d (ann.) | 45.53% | +2.02% |
| Fear & Greed | 73 | +10.61% |
| Fed Balance Sheet | $6.75T | — |
| Treasury General Account | $953.61B | — |
| Reverse Repo | $0.20B | — |
| M2 Money Supply | $23.16T | — |
| Net Liquidity | $5,791.89B | — |
| BTC ETF Daily Flow | $307.45M | — |
| BTC ETF 7d Flow | $1,917.79M | — |
| BTC ETF AUM | $96.07B | — |
| S&P 500 | 7,674.37 | — |
| DeFi TVL | $92.90B | +0.87% |
| Stablecoin Market Cap | $303.70B | — |
| USDT Peg | $0.9999 | +0.01% |
| Fed Rate Cut Odds | 1.60% | -5.88% |
| BTC $100k Milestone | 1.10% | -21.43% |
| ETH ≥ $2,600 | 49.70% | -14.31% |
Economic Events
| Date | Event | Expected | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26 | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.60 | 3.70 |