Crypto Macro Pulse — Real-Time Indicators & AI Market Analysis — 28.08.2026
Risk OnFRESH SPOT DEMAND
🟢 Positive — Demand is holding up despite more hawkish Fed expectations
Bitcoin has reclaimed $80,000, while BTC fund AUM rose from 98.63 to 100.93—fresh demand is still outweighing pressure from rates. The backdrop has turned more restrictive: the probability of a Fed rate cut is just 1.7%, while renewed talk of a hike threatens to tighten dollar liquidity. Even so, the Fear & Greed Index remains at 73, in greed territory, and discussion of a crypto ETF framework in Thailand supports the prospect of broader institutional access. With the Fed’s hawkish shift yet to derail Bitcoin’s recovery, buyers retain the upper hand.
WHAT TO WATCH
A Bitcoin close above $79,658 on August 29 would confirm that fresh demand is holding. The key is a daily close above the current price, not a brief intraday move.
All Indicators
| Event | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| US Dollar Index | 118.06 | — |
| US 10Y Treasury | 4.66% | — |
| US 2Y Treasury | 4.19% | — |
| US 10Y TIPS (Real Yield) | 2.34% | — |
| Fed Funds Rate | 3.63% | — |
| CPI (YoY) | 3.30% | — |
| Core CPI (YoY) | 2.47% | — |
| VIX | 15.21 | — |
| Yield Curve (10Y-2Y) | 0.47% | — |
| BTC Dominance | 59.25% | +0.07% |
| BTC Price | $79,658 | -0.80% |
| BTC Return 24h | 1.14% | -43.56% |
| BTC Return 7d | 6.24% | -40.63% |
| BTC Vol 30d (ann.) | 46.39% | +7.93% |
| Fear & Greed | 73 | +2.82% |
| Fed Balance Sheet | $6.73T | — |
| Treasury General Account | $950.74B | — |
| Reverse Repo | $0.46B | — |
| M2 Money Supply | $23.22T | — |
| Net Liquidity | $5,779.71B | — |
| BTC ETF Daily Flow | $242.24M | — |
| BTC ETF 7d Flow | $1,433.74M | — |
| BTC ETF AUM | $100.93B | — |
| S&P 500 | 7,730.99 | — |
| DeFi TVL | $88.80B | -0.34% |
| Stablecoin Market Cap | $305.10B | +0.03% |
| USDT Peg | $1.0000 | -0.01% |
| Fed Rate Cut Odds | 1.70% | — |
| BTC $100k Milestone | 0.30% | — |
| ETH ≥ $2,600 | 40.50% | -26.36% |
Economic Events
| Date | Event | Expected | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26 | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.60 | 3.70 |