Crypto Macro Pulse — Real-Time Indicators & AI Market Analysis — 30.08.2026
Risk OnBITCOIN CONCENTRATION
🟡 Neutral — Bitcoin remains resilient, but crypto market breadth is narrowing markedly.
Demand is concentrating in Bitcoin: its dominance rose from 58.97% to 59.49%, while the Altseason Barometer fell from 37 to 28. The probability of ETH reaching $2,600 increased from 7.9% to 8.8%, but this local shift does not yet change the broader picture. Risk appetite has persisted for a seventh day, with the Fear & Greed Index at 69, although the probability of a Fed rate cut is just 1.1%. High inflation and the tariff conflict are keeping the risk premium elevated, while the SEC’s review of new crypto ETFs supports the sector backdrop. Bitcoin’s rebound has yet to broaden the market.
WHAT TO WATCH
If BTC dominance stays above 59.49% tomorrow, it will confirm that demand remains concentrated in Bitcoin. Holding at that level would show that the BTC rebound is still not broadening the market.
All Indicators
| Event | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| US Dollar Index | 118.06 | — |
| US 10Y Treasury | 4.67% | — |
| US 2Y Treasury | 4.20% | — |
| US 10Y TIPS (Real Yield) | 2.34% | — |
| Fed Funds Rate | 3.63% | — |
| CPI (YoY) | 3.30% | — |
| Core CPI (YoY) | 2.47% | — |
| VIX | 14.51 | — |
| Yield Curve (10Y-2Y) | 0.47% | — |
| BTC Dominance | 59.49% | +0.80% |
| BTC Price | $78,080 | -0.19% |
| BTC Return 24h | 0.56% | -11.11% |
| BTC Return 7d | 1.93% | +20.62% |
| BTC Vol 30d (ann.) | 47.73% | +5.88% |
| Fear & Greed | 69 | +1.47% |
| Fed Balance Sheet | $6.73T | — |
| Treasury General Account | $950.74B | — |
| Reverse Repo | $0.18B | — |
| M2 Money Supply | $23.22T | — |
| Net Liquidity | $5,779.99B | — |
| BTC ETF Daily Flow | -$201.81M | — |
| BTC ETF 7d Flow | $924.48M | — |
| BTC ETF AUM | $97.59B | — |
| S&P 500 | 7,711.76 | — |
| DeFi TVL | $88.10B | +0.11% |
| Stablecoin Market Cap | $305.50B | — |
| USDT Peg | $1.0000 | — |
| Fed Rate Cut Odds | 1.10% | -8.33% |
| BTC $100k Milestone | 0.20% | — |
| ETH ≥ $2,600 | 8.80% | +2.33% |
| Altseason Barometer | 28 | -22.22% |
| Crypto Market Cap | $2.63T | -0.96% |